Frozen pre-match forecast · #95425
Király SZE VS Balatonalmádi
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 58.56%
- Draw
- 21.70%
- Away
- 19.74%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.9950
- Log loss
- 1.5279
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
- SHA-256
- 2db983ef0c969cea2c4b0859bba42923c8568c2a448fc8926f75e0f73c2120e1
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.