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Frozen pre-match forecast · #95390

Volda VS Orkla

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
84.34%
Draw
9.98%
Away
5.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0377
Log loss
0.1703

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
828703a5441b59701b888087d5db4f481d62f24b7ad61ed00bc90df08d13f2c6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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