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Frozen pre-match forecast · #95337

Sigma Olomouc II VS Vítkovice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.81%
Draw
22.89%
Away
21.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2930
Log loss
0.5832

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
f6e3728ed7c3a825d75691a1909ccdb100a343bdb8c39c2007b913c4e1d7b70d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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