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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9528

Conquense VS Salamanca UDS

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.70%
Draw
34.64%
Away
33.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6998
Log loss
1.1489

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
SHA-256
6d5d3bc52563b7b67069c6be9f54f41dc77a519f0c6f72308bc0aa602c5a7cad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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