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Frozen pre-match forecast · #95234

Antofagasta VS Rangers de Talca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.07%
Draw
20.21%
Away
10.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1480
Log loss
0.3700

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
e764ef90d2dddbc20a191a9fe8d240719ccd2a587b22bc39241d500dffafaf2f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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