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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9517

Stal Stalowa Wola VS Resovia Rzeszów

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.57%
Draw
37.47%
Away
25.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6101
Log loss
1.0059

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
SHA-256
c1a1f959691200db926ef22343e17df018f5a87263f97b4fdfe1f73bb9428476

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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