Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #95019

Brusaporto VS Pro Palazzolo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.63%
Draw
26.38%
Away
23.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8937
Log loss
1.4275

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
1992b0795c06246cf2df65cb976bb2287f2a63be7329b8766c67158ed50a86ce

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →