Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #9500

Stuttgart U19 VS Hertha BSC U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.51%
Draw
28.88%
Away
27.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7713
Log loss
1.2420

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
b61f217e039f7f2f4fbb5cd5e897c72666a6e2a0d2747ed44c52456aa3df5a46

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →