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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94970

Alcorcon VS Huesca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 19:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.75%
Draw
29.19%
Away
35.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7521
Log loss
1.2312

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SHA-256
b9be1a97156a9e90cb0457ef0e4422f6d57272cc1af986f36a3ea8bd205821fd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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