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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94891

Stocksund VS Enköping

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.81%
Draw
22.70%
Away
43.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4852
Log loss
0.8326

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
11f0ad7ba12f613870d6f6f0946fa4b01a696839a91a9d2f8b94633d4f9efe0d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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