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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94857

Kolding IF VS Vendsyssel FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.62%
Draw
25.64%
Away
28.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4441
Log loss
0.7848

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
4502731ab7452470ba21996a902f617540a8a09901852bd84279c597a8efd3da

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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