Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #94850

Voitsberg VS First Vienna

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.72%
Draw
26.04%
Away
39.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5576
Log loss
0.9356

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
6a803f7979b18f025f5a7947f71e8ae518dced4ad1f91122dc668b5c9f9aee72

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →