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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9483

Mladá Boleslav II VS Slovan Liberec II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.21%
Draw
32.29%
Away
20.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4250
Log loss
0.7506

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
2f3fd6c45568a26614cc80718873788a44f6d1ba45ddf9ad08c259f99dd6794a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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