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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94821

Bodø / Glimt W VS Lyn W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.57%
Draw
15.92%
Away
72.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.1143
Log loss
0.3214

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
bf0910fa8d40d457dc46e93f2d3e5c7e6abe32114eb4d3b43694fa164d5d0340

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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