Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #94665

Frosinone VS Benevento

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.75%
Draw
20.46%
Away
19.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2430
Log loss
0.5150

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
fe95edc4367a2d12012ae2a1909fb2bc5fb36ca83d463f3987f065ae44c520c6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →