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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94627

India VS Brazil

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 07:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.99%
Draw
3.48%
Away
95.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.0033
Log loss
0.0457

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 07:00 UTC
SHA-256
a01b3e8c1ca3fabc32b121a98c9ca5cb7040f1cddc322e31102a0228d500f858

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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