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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94626

Kufstein VS Imst

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 07:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.17%
Draw
21.10%
Away
59.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2434
Log loss
0.5153

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 07:00 UTC
SHA-256
f5732c53617062a9f101891e056480a238925f8d9e6b6fe85e0a1e886eb9e121

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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