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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94578

Antofagasta VS Universidad de Chile

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.19%
Draw
23.95%
Away
53.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9529
Log loss
1.5055

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
d93c8ccd5c5a88b52dd7d3d651ea95d3d0aab594ba07649e938e3091a8d61747

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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