Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #9444

Jeonbuk Motors VS Gwangju FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 07:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.91%
Draw
26.36%
Away
11.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9393
Log loss
1.3333

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
ee4ecfb3554dd95d52643ad118ed4c0ced9a2a5d6d05e14bb8d56422acb60fa2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →