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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94431

BS Bouhajla VS AS Soliman

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.49%
Draw
28.64%
Away
21.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8020
Log loss
1.2504

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
b3ca8b89cce2324222ad840e2d4d4890d06f63b5d22cb7933b0ae0af28cd2964

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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