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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94333

Luftëtari VS Tomori Berat

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.18%
Draw
16.69%
Away
13.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1340
Log loss
0.3540

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
7e1ce01bea679866e1400b6c779396ce071b64eef67b1e9c46a79287a2c92a30

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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