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Frozen pre-match forecast · #94197

Namungo VS Kitayosce

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.82%
Draw
30.25%
Away
32.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5992
Log loss
0.9992

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
ef7af8710491c0f7f855aceb2df426e9a6f43995eca592a8623e7c8d57fa6562

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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