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Frozen pre-match forecast · #93973

Karpaty Lviv U19 VS Zhytomyr U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.80%
Draw
23.69%
Away
27.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3939
Log loss
0.7174

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
00ad01f8aa46461f697ddc999ea8e0072455948c16ba523adc5c3321b5b8c655

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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