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Frozen pre-match forecast · #93816

Liptovský Mikuláš VS Šamorín

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.21%
Draw
25.40%
Away
37.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5986
Log loss
0.9886

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
22ebb875d8ab74404b43fa3f9756c0f344a15d9a5d40e22ee57ed49f9ebea54f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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