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Frozen pre-match forecast · #93663

Revilla VS Atlético Albericia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.08%
Draw
25.66%
Away
31.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8360
Log loss
1.3602

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
76dcd02ab7d45b6d95ce7b47a6e6e2b160160c531c533b296cd55eed82c09eba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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