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Frozen pre-match forecast · #93418

Vibonese VS Digiesse PraiaTortora

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.56%
Draw
28.65%
Away
32.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5671
Log loss
0.9530

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
f0b3ee2d25b50a51584b21419eb5af49b3878660231a1aaef02df68776893fbf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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