Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #93363

Eordaikos VS Doxa Mascholouriou

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.12%
Draw
27.46%
Away
21.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3602
Log loss
0.6710

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
ae9a87b02fd2c6204798de11c5b7ca1b07674e33752892705282454fb1d31f81

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →