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Frozen pre-match forecast · #93175

UD Logroñés VS Deportivo La Coruña II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.93%
Draw
23.23%
Away
17.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2545
Log loss
0.5288

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
700b5b451fd133380d245755951f5782337b64833db84b06ba3b5c7f87d5749b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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