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Frozen pre-match forecast · #92872

Hamilton Academical VS Peterhead

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.55%
Draw
20.70%
Away
13.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1804
Log loss
0.4224

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
4717c03a11a924039ff1d0d2d4d006f05249af0d1bfd9228e7e6b02a18d702a0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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