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Frozen pre-match forecast · #92590

Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS Vilkhivtsi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.67%
Draw
25.50%
Away
30.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7343
Log loss
1.1769

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
a526c92b18d7c39fa07a6154d2cfaf33c0bce9553f1a65701823e9a80fcc4a8d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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