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Frozen pre-match forecast · #92543

České Budějovice VS Benešov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.99%
Draw
18.32%
Away
14.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1641
Log loss
0.4006

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
1d08ce14e72c16529ab9b45510354a0a1d30c4a876e769ea7c77a55f42ee716a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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