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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9252

Luziânia VS GREVAL

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.59%
Draw
40.48%
Away
19.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.9617
Log loss
1.6129

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
SHA-256
2643e645a1dcb24098d683207d012bc7d6e05e574a48694d6d46f4cacadd6f20

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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