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Frozen pre-match forecast · #92301

Dovo VS ADO '20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.41%
Draw
24.21%
Away
30.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7495
Log loss
1.1914

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
7d6aff35276b341ef6efef71bc234605e714174a073a17a47c111e36090b8148

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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