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Frozen pre-match forecast · #92268

PSIS Semarang VS Bekasi City

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.98%
Draw
26.79%
Away
35.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5805
Log loss
0.9681

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
9d5bbdbe11b9d1e587115a6f458c52c9f604c1397cde6ef87f4b56b5f9169f13

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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