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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9209

Wilrijk VS Cappellen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.46%
Draw
33.73%
Away
32.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6642
Log loss
1.0948

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
SHA-256
d0ace43db301ff9d4f6c249153c8652755413cb723298725ab39461f0b58a4e0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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