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Frozen pre-match forecast · #92041

Legion VS Levadia U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.62%
Draw
13.39%
Away
76.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0801
Log loss
0.2615

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
ef22bcc8b4e4647083b9acd1054de7a36538e7ef33d3665c5daebbe011b7fb8d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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