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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9197

AS Eupen VS Liège

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.01%
Draw
28.60%
Away
25.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4378
Log loss
0.7763

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
SHA-256
7cc36ff2b7f53cc25d1825db58cafa4b23a6adc8407904839c69e7e08de94cef

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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