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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91932

Sp. Hasselt U21 VS Kortrijk U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.43%
Draw
18.31%
Away
69.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1435
Log loss
0.3673

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
407809c47262224a47c09323a1604baee90cab25ba79d8c8fcf806941a68f661

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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