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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91850

Inter Sibiu VS Valenii de Munte

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.42%
Draw
17.37%
Away
16.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1692
Log loss
0.4092

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
80d2d6091f7e56acaf93fbcf1ea3abe7b1941f1fb99fdd8edf4a5b864d727eeb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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