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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91835

Tanta SC VS Haras El Hodood

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.71%
Draw
31.62%
Away
41.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5116
Log loss
0.8754

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
3f180d5c60e57edbed85766b56eada3f074a272af5eae1953acf677638c7f587

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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