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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91820

Voluntari II VS Alexandria

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.38%
Draw
24.63%
Away
49.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3752
Log loss
0.6933

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
cdfa418883a60ec1b12a98bcf9cf36a39b0f963884ea6bcc8e39616e9dba3a0a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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