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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91795

Portugal U20 VS Czech Republic U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.47%
Draw
24.68%
Away
28.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4307
Log loss
0.7664

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
064c8258dd2668187ccba434b80111333399c3ab9a9bfed60e00fbadc0565ef4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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