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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9175

Portugalete VS Coruxo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.33%
Draw
33.73%
Away
32.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6668
Log loss
1.0987

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
SHA-256
ee64115ff1fbf543444935ed14b3a58abdd7fa49edde5ac233d9cf40a51f2f40

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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