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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91670

RB Bragantino VS Mirassol

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.24%
Draw
24.50%
Away
22.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9030
Log loss
1.4065

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
e12f0295b55e039099692636344ff4bb052bd548f2ac259f15959a186bda3c71

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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