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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91607

Racing Santander II VS Eibar II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 03:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.48%
Draw
27.26%
Away
38.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.5744
Log loss
0.9608

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 03:00 UTC
SHA-256
f76369f1b1195a0bd0ec06fdd03f05979747c0fe8f01adb300e50fd8ffc2a28a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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