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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91496

Amawele VS Highlanders

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.62%
Draw
28.94%
Away
46.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4312
Log loss
0.7670

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Oct 2026 · 02:00 UTC
SHA-256
d1c635abfd47c0903f076331c6f4787539b04ad4b6ce434524673f7ba428ff8a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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