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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91311

CSKA Sofia VS Monaco

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.41%
Draw
25.15%
Away
45.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
79a84df5027f7a93699a9f949001027386a6073244bd33d44c9a3855754854c4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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