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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91302

Muaither SC VS Qatar U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.71%
Draw
22.21%
Away
16.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1344
Log loss
1.8276

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
cb2d168992c96243320f9fde245a986713127e8194e5995c05eceb4a5ebbfbc4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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