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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9123

Olot VS Utebo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.18%
Draw
35.15%
Away
30.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7210
Log loss
1.1819

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
SHA-256
521eb8a2ddac621ff0b2bd5ffad6d2667a08b3950ce6a7f0e01a56e546d0a846

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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