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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9116

Al-Wasl FC VS Al Ain

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.77%
Draw
29.96%
Away
35.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6397
Log loss
1.0564

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
SHA-256
a0e6a737e9281a1806dea1f8b93ed0f8da00622757c766f9789a0e6dd88fa19b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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